
Central banks · Policy preview
The Fed’s October test: higher inflation after September’s rate rise
September’s rate increase is the starting point. The October 27–28 meeting will test how policymakers read the latest rise in consumer prices.
The decisions, data and policy shifts behind the currency market.

September’s rate increase is the starting point. The October 27–28 meeting will test how policymakers read the latest rise in consumer prices.
Gasoline drove more than half the September monthly increase. Core inflation also rose, leaving a more complicated picture for policy.

September’s 6–3 split shows why an unchanged rate should not be read as a settled outlook for sterling.

The vote and the policy assessment can change the outlook even when the rate stays put.
September’s quarter-point rise put the deposit rate at 2.50%. For EUR/USD, the relative outlook is the harder question.
